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Mortgage Rates Today, Nov. 25, 2024: Four Things That Could Make Thanksgiving Week Bumpy for Rates

Mortgage interest rate sign stacked: mortgage rates today

The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage is 6.78% today, a decrease of 0.14% since yesterday. The 15-year fixed mortgage rate stands at 5.87%, down by 0.12%. The 30-year FHA mortgage now averages 6.02%, having dropped by 0.21. Meanwhile, the 30-year jumbo mortgage rate is 7.3%, reflecting a decrease of 0.05%.

In brief

There are no reports on today's economic calendar. So, if mortgage rates today move, they'll likely be responding to other things: bond market sentiment, stock market rises or falls (indirectly), or geopolitical news that might affect the economy.

Tomorrow morning brings three economic reports (details below) but only one typically changes mortgage rates and then only a bit. However, tomorrow afternoon is different.

That's when the Federal Reserve publishes the minutes of the Nov. 7 meeting of its rate-setting body. By then, it was clear that President-elect Donald Trump had taken the White House, though not that there had been a clean red sweep of both houses of Congress, too. Investors will be keen to hear the Fed's take on the potential economic consequences of the presidential election.

We're due an important inflation report on Wednesday, which could certainly affect mortgage rates if it contains unexpected numbers.

That leaves two other things that could create volatility this week. The first is the fact that experienced investors often take extended breaks around Thanksgiving and Christmas. And that can see trades generated by greener and less cool heads. Just sometimes those can create exaggerated movements in stocks, bonds and mortgage rates.

And, finally, this week includes the end of the month. Many investors use month ends as an opportunity to clean up their portfolios, making trades that are down to their own internal needs rather than external, market-sensitive data or news. This phenomenon is unpredictable and may or may not be noticeable.


Mortgage Rate Trends: Past 90 Days

Purchase Rates

Loan Type Rate APR Daily Change Monthly Change
30-Year Fixed 6.78% 6.82% -0.14% -0.06%
15-Year Fixed 5.87% 5.94% -0.12% -0.02%
30-Year Fixed FHA 6.02% 6.85% -0.21% -0.17%
30-Year Fixed VA 6.09% 6.24% -0.21% -0.14%
30-Year Fixed USDA 6.01% 6.15% -0.23% -0.13%
30-Year Fixed Jumbo 7.3% 7.33% -0.05% +0.11%
5/6 Year ARM 6.73% 6.77% +0.05% +0.18%

Refinance Rates

Loan Type Rate APR Daily Change Monthly Change
30-Year Fixed 6.76% 6.8% -0.14% -0.05%
15-Year Fixed 5.73% 5.79% -0.11% +0.01%
30-Year Fixed FHA 5.99% 6.83% -0.22% -0.19%
30-Year Fixed VA 6.08% 6.23% -0.24% -0.16%
5/6 Year ARM 6.8% 6.87% +0.13% +0.05%
How we source rates and rate trends.

Coming up

Mortgage rates today and tomorrow

Economic reports won't create waves for mortgage rates today. None is scheduled.

Tomorrow brings three reports:

  • S&P Case-Shiller home price index (20 cities) for September
  • October new home sales
  • November consumer confidence — Markets are expecting that to rise to 113.0 from 108.7 in October

Markets rarely respond much to real-estate data, so consumer confidence figures are most likely to affect mortgage rates tomorrow. We'd like an appreciably lower figure than 113.0 because that's more likely to exert some downward pressure on mortgage rates.

However, as we said above, if anything is likely to move mortgage rates far tomorrow, it's the Fed's meeting minutes.

Later in the week

Wednesday brings an important inflation report, the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index. This is the Fed's favored gauge of inflation and could well influence whether it cuts general interest rates on Dec. 18.

There are several other reports due that day, including a GDP revision. We'll brief you more fully on those tomorrow.

Markets are closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving. So mortgage rates shouldn't move that day (and we won't publish this daily report). And no economic reports are scheduled for Friday, so that could be a repeat of today — plus the month-end factor.
About The Author:

Peter Warden has been covering mortgage, real estate, and personal finance for 15 years. He has appeared on The Mortgage Reports, Credit Sesame, Bills.com, and other publications.

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